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An Evaluation of Loan Default Rates in Retail Banking: A Case Study of Ecobank, Abia State

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Background of the Study
Loan default rates are a critical indicator of financial health in retail banking, reflecting the efficiency of credit management systems. At Ecobank in Abia State, the evaluation of default rates is essential for understanding credit risk and maintaining sustainable lending practices. The bank employs rigorous risk assessment frameworks, collateral requirements, and customer monitoring systems to minimize defaults and ensure that lending remains profitable (Okoro, 2023).
High default rates not only affect the bank’s profitability but also have broader implications for the stability of the financial system. Factors contributing to loan defaults include economic instability, inadequate borrower screening, and poor credit management practices. Ecobank’s proactive measures in addressing these issues include enhanced credit scoring models, regular portfolio reviews, and customer support initiatives aimed at improving repayment behavior (Chukwu, 2024).
This study explores the determinants of loan default rates in retail banking, focusing on Ecobank’s strategies in Abia State. It examines how economic, operational, and customer-related factors interact to influence default rates and evaluates the effectiveness of current risk mitigation strategies. The research provides insights into best practices for reducing loan defaults and offers recommendations for strengthening credit management frameworks in the retail banking sector (Eze, 2025).

Statement of the Problem
Despite Ecobank’s efforts to manage credit risk, loan default rates remain a persistent challenge, undermining profitability and financial stability. The bank faces issues related to insufficient borrower screening, external economic shocks, and inadequate follow-up mechanisms, which contribute to higher default rates (Okoro, 2023).
Many borrowers, particularly those from lower-income segments, struggle with timely repayments due to fluctuating incomes and unforeseen financial hardships. This scenario is further complicated by economic volatility and poor financial planning, leading to an increased likelihood of defaults. The existing credit risk management frameworks, while robust, are sometimes unable to fully capture the complexities of borrower behavior in dynamic economic environments. This study aims to dissect these challenges, investigating the root causes of high loan default rates and evaluating the efficacy of current mitigation strategies. The goal is to develop recommendations that can reduce defaults and enhance overall credit portfolio performance (Chukwu, 2024).

Objectives of the Study

  • To evaluate the determinants of loan default rates at Ecobank.
  • To assess the effectiveness of current credit risk management strategies.
  • To recommend improvements to reduce default rates in retail banking.

Research Questions

  • What are the primary factors contributing to loan defaults at Ecobank?
  • How effective are the existing credit risk management strategies in mitigating defaults?
  • What measures can be implemented to reduce loan default rates?

Research Hypotheses

  • H₁: Economic instability is significantly associated with higher loan default rates.
  • H₂: Enhanced borrower screening reduces the incidence of loan defaults.
  • H₃: Regular portfolio monitoring improves credit performance and reduces defaults.

Scope and Limitations of the Study
This study focuses on Ecobank’s loan portfolio in Abia State. Limitations include the availability of detailed credit data, external economic influences, and potential respondent biases.

Definitions of Terms

  • Loan Default Rates: The percentage of loans that are not repaid as agreed.
  • Credit Risk Management: Strategies to assess and mitigate the risk of loan defaults.
  • Portfolio Monitoring: The continuous review of loan performance.




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